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January 31, 2015

Super Bowl guide to 'special' prop bets

Super Bowl NFL
013115MarshawnLynch Rick Scuteri/AP

Can you bet on whether or not Marshawn Lynch will grab his crotch in the Super Bowl? Uh... Yeah. Why wouldn't you be able to bet on that?

You can bet on pretty much anything in the Super Bowl, as evidenced by Bovada's "special" Super Bowl prop bets. I picked out my five favorite "special" prop bets, and offered my advice below. You're welcome.

Will Marshawn Lynch grab his crotch after scoring a TD in the game?

  1. Yes +200
  2. No -300

Do I even have to tell you to bet "yes" on this? How many times in life will you ever have the opportunity to celebrate winning money because a grown man grabbed his crotch? Bet "yes" and feel secure knowing you did the right thing even if you lose the bet.

Which coach will be mentioned first by name on TV after kickoff?

  1. Pete Carroll +110
  2. Bill Belichick -150

The key phrase here is "after kickoff." Belichick will surely be mentioned far more than Carroll during the pre-game festivities because he's dirty rotten cheating bastard. Wait, the same can be said of Carroll, I suppose. OK, so Belichick is the poster child of dirty rotten cheating bastards, and more recently a dirty rotten cheating bastard, so you know what I mean. Anyway, I digress. Once the actual game gets underway, Carroll is just as likely to be mentioned within the context of the game. Take Carroll and the better odds.

What color will Bill Belichick's hoodie be?

  1. Gray -120
  2. Blue EVEN
  3. Red +750

In his 2002, 2003, and 2004 Super Bowl appearances, Belichick did not wear hoodies. In 2008, he wore red. In 2012, he wore gray. Yes, I actually researched this, and no, I have no life.

If I were Belichick, I would look at the Seahawks and note that both blue and gray are part of their uniforms. Red is not. Seeing as Belichick (A) already wore red in a Super Bowl once, and (B) red is the only color among the three choices that is not part of the Seahawks' unis, red at +750 feels like an absolute steal.

How many times will 'Deflated' Balls be said during the game?

Over-under is 3.

Under! Will "deflated" balls be mentioned a million times pregame? Of course! But again, "during the game," Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth will surely mention it, because they have to. However, once it's mentioned, that will be the end of it, since it's unlikely that any in-game scenario will warrant the re-mentioning of "deflated" balls. Three is too high a number.

Groundhog Day Parlay

  1. Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow and Patriots win the Super Bowl +220
  2. Punxsutawney Phil does not see shadow and Patriots win the Super Bowl +275
  3. Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow and Seahawks win the Super Bowl +225
  4. Punxsutawney Phil does not see shadow and Seahawks win the Super Bowl +275

Since 2000 (and really, since this stupid tradition has been alive since 1887), Punxsutawny Phil has seen his shadow waaaay more than he hasn't. In fact, there have never been consecutive years in which Phil didn't see his shadow. Here is Phil's record since 2000:

Punxsutawny Phil

Phil has seen his shadow in 12 of the last 15 years. Again, yes, I actually researched this, and no, I have no life.

I would hedge here. Bet that Phil will see his shadow, plus whoever you think will win. If you guess right, you win your parlay. If not, at least spring will come early.

Follow Jimmy on Twitter: @JimmyKempski