May 11, 2025
Patrick Gorski/Imagn Images
On May 12, the Sixers will either be rewarded with a top-six pick or leave the NBA Draft Lottery empty-handed.
Every day between the end of the Sixers' regular season and the NBA Draft Lottery on May 12, we will use Tankathon.com's famous simulation tool to run through the lottery 10 times. Over a 29-day period, we will collect a significant sample of possible outcomes and track those results as the Sixers wait to learn the fate of their own first-round pick.
The Sixers are entering the lottery with the fifth-best set of odds, but they will only keep their first-rounder if it falls in the top six slots due to an obligation to the Oklahoma City Thunder from a trade made nearly five years ago.
Let's get to today's simulations:
The outcomes of today's batch of 10 simulations:
• Simulation No. 1: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 2: 1st pick
• Simulation No. 3: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 4: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 5: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 6: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 7: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 8: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 9: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 10: 4th pick
MORE: Jared McCain will represent Sixers tomorrow
The Sixers somehow landed the No. 2 overall pick in half of today's simulations, but also won the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes once:
Flagg, the Duke phenom, will be one of the single most valuable franchise cornerstones in the NBA upon being drafted. He would also transform the short-term outlook of the Sixers.
Only one drop out of the top-six protected range for the Sixers in this batch, which came in the very first simulation:
The Brooklyn Nets or Toronto Raptors jumping the Sixers would be particularly devastating after the Sixers spent two months ensuring they could lose at a more prolific rate than those teams to secure optimal lottery positioning.
The cumulative results of this exercise so far:
| Draft Pick | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| 1 | 35 | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| 2 | 35 | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 18 | 6.4% | 10.6% |
| 4 | 34 | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| 5 | 9 | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| 6 | 49 | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| 7 | 79 | 28.2% | 26.7% |
| 8 | 20 | 7.1% | 8.7% |
| 9 | 1 | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Keep or Lose Pick? | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| Kept Pick | 180 | 64.2% | 64.0% |
| Lost Pick | 100 | 35.7% | 36.0% |
SIXERS YEAR-IN-REVIEW
Joel Embiid | Guerschon Yabusele | Paul George | Jared McCain | Tyrese Maxey | Andre Drummond | Quentin Grimes | Jared Butler | Kyle Lowry | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Justin Edwards | Ricky Council IV | Eric Gordon | Lonnie Walker IV | Adem Bona
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