May 10, 2025
Patrick Gorski/Imagn Images
On May 12, the Sixers will either be rewarded with a top-six pick or leave the NBA Draft Lottery empty-handed.
Every day between the end of the Sixers' regular season and the NBA Draft Lottery on May 12, we will use Tankathon.com's famous simulation tool to run through the lottery 10 times. Over a 29-day period, we will collect a significant sample of possible outcomes and track those results as the Sixers wait to learn the fate of their own first-round pick.
The Sixers are entering the lottery with the fifth-best set of odds, but they will only keep their first-rounder if it falls in the top six slots due to an obligation to the Oklahoma City Thunder from a trade made nearly five years ago.
Let's get to today's simulations:
The outcomes of today's batch of 10 simulations:
• Simulation No. 1: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 2: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 3: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 4: 1st pick
• Simulation No. 5: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 6: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 7: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 8: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 9: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 10: 4th pick
MORE: Jared McCain representing Sixers on stage Monday
One lottery victory for the Sixers within today's batch:
The opportunity to select Duke phenom Cooper Flagg in the top spot would offer the Sixers a chance to cement a new franchise cornerstone and also transform their roster and rotation in the short-term.
The Sixers dropped to No. 7 and lost their pick in four of these simulations, including one where Flagg lands with a team that just won 52 games powered by stellar defense:
The scariest possible Flagg destinations for contenders across the NBA have to be the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs.
The cumulative results of this exercise so far:
| Draft Pick | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| 1 | 34 | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| 2 | 30 | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 18 | 6.6% | 10.6% |
| 4 | 33 | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| 5 | 9 | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| 6 | 47 | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| 7 | 78 | 28.8% | 26.7% |
| 8 | 20 | 7.4% | 8.7% |
| 9 | 1 | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Keep or Lose Pick? | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| Kept Pick | 171 | 63.3% | 64.0% |
| Lost Pick | 99 | 36.6% | 36.0% |
SIXERS YEAR-IN-REVIEW
Joel Embiid | Guerschon Yabusele | Paul George | Jared McCain | Tyrese Maxey | Andre Drummond | Quentin Grimes | Jared Butler | Kyle Lowry | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Justin Edwards | Ricky Council IV | Eric Gordon | Lonnie Walker IV | Adem Bona
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