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February 14, 2019

Many of the posted 2019 NFL Super Bowl odds make little sense

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021419CarsonWentz Matthew Emmons/USA TODAY Sports

Vegas is sleeping on Carson Wentz.

NFL 2019 Super Bowl odds have been out for a while, but I'm just now getting around to chime in on them. In short, some of odds below, offered here by BetOnline.ag, make little sense. So if you're a gambling guy/gal and have the patience to wait a year to potentially cash in on the Super Bowl winner, there are some decent buys.

First, the odds:

Team Odds Team Odds
New England Patriots 6/1 Baltimore Ravens 33/1
Kansas City Chiefs 7/1 Carolina Panthers 33/1
Los Angeles Rams 8/1 Jacksonville Jaguars 33/1
New Orleans Saints 10/1 New York Giants 40/1
Chicago Bears 14/1 Seattle Seahawks 40/1
Indianapolis Colts 16/1 Tennessee Titans 50/1
Los Angeles Chargers 16/1 Arizona Cardinals 66/1
Minnesota Vikings 16/1 Buffalo Bills 66/1
San Francisco 49ers 16/1 Cincinnati Bengals 66/1
Green Bay Packers 20/1 Denver Broncos 66/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1 Detroit Lions 66/1
Cleveland Browns 22/1 New York Jets 66/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 22/1 Oakland Raiders 66/1
Dallas Cowboys 25/1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66/1
Houston Texans 25/1 Washington Redskins 66/1
Atlanta Falcons 28/1 Miami Dolphins 100/1

Good buys

The Chargers at 16/1: They have the Chiefs in their division, which sucks for them, but the Raiders and Broncos have disaster written all over them, which helps. This team was reasonably close to earning the No. 1 seed in 2018. And frankly, they got screwed by a playoff system that rewards meh teams that win crappy divisions by giving them home games over wildcard teams that clearly had better seasons. If the Chargers can win the AFC West, they'll be in legitimate position to do some damage in the postseason. 

The Eagles at 20/1. The Eagles were truly a dominant team in 2017, and hey, they won it all. In 2018, they made it to the divisional round despite an absurd number of injuries. In the 2019 preseason Super Bowl odds, they're behind the 4-12 49ers and tied with the 6-9-1 Packers? What?!? 

In 2019, Carson Wentz will be another year removed from his knee surgery, and the team will be getting half their roster back from injuries. 20/1 is an outstanding buy.

The Texans at 25/1: Houston nearly earned a No. 2 seed in the AFC in 2018, DeShaun Watson will be a year better, and the team has $78 million in cap space, per OverTheCap.com.

The Falcons at 28/1: I still believe in this team for some reason, and 28/1 odds are pretty tasty.

The Seahawks at 40/1: Russell Wilson is still really freaking good, while the defense was better than expected despite several key losses. Also, like the Texans above, Seattle is loaded up with cap space, at $52 million.

Terrible buys

The 49ers at 16/1: Uh, what? They were 4-12 last season. Is the return of Jimmy Garoppolo really worth a swing of like 6-8 games, especially when one of his replacements, Nick Mullens, wasn't a complete disaster? How does this team have a share of the sixth-best odds to win it all? 

The Vikings at 16/1: Their defense is overrated, and wide receivers coach / quarterback Kirk Cousins is garbage.

The Packers at 20/1: The Packers were 6-9-1 even with Aaron Rodgers. Granted, Rodgers is great, but the rest of this roster stinks.


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