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December 19, 2021

Carson Wentz reaches snap count projection; Eagles nearly certain to gain first-round pick from Colts

As you're aware, the Philadelphia Eagles traded Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts for a second-round pick that could become a first-round pick if Wentz plays 75 percent of the Colts' offensive snaps, or he plays 70 percent of the Colts' snaps, plus the Colts make the playoffs.

On Saturday night against the New England Patriots, Wentz reached a snap count total that makes his 75 percent snap count participation requirement almost certain.

Through the Colts' first 13 games, Wentz played 854 of a possible 876 of the Colts' offensive snaps, or 97.5 percent. The Colts averaged 67.4 snaps per game during that span, and were on pace to play 1,146 offensive snaps this season. That means that Wentz needed to play around 859 snaps to reach the projected 75 percent threshold against the Patriots Saturday night. (1146 * 0.75 = 859). Got it? Cool. 

As such, heading into the Colts' Week 15 matchup against the Pats, Wentz was five snaps shy of that projected snap total, which again, was only an estimate. He played all 52 of the Colts' offensive snaps. 

If Wentz doesn't play another snap the rest of the season, the Colts would have to average 93.7 offensive snaps per game for Wentz not to hit his 75 percent benchmark. Their highest snap total in any one game this season was 80, in Week 8, as shown here: 

GameSnaps playedPossible snaps% of snaps played
1 (Loss)7676100.0%
2 (Loss)626792.5%
3 (Loss)6161100.0%
4 (Win)7171100.0%
5 (Loss)6969100.0%
6 (Win)4848100.0%
7 (Win)6868100.0%
8 (Loss)8080100.0%
9 (Win)6262100.0%
10 (Win)6464100.0%
11 (Win)626989.9%
12 (Loss)6969100.0%
13 (Win)627286.1%
14 (Win)5252100.0%
TOTAL (8-6)90692897.6%

They would also have to miss the playoffs, which is feeling unlikely after they were able to improve to 8-6, further solidifying their wildcard spot in the AFC.

It's pretty safe for Howie Roseman to go ahead and pop the champagne.


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