May 07, 2025
Patrick Gorski/Imagn Images
On May 12, the Sixers will either be rewarded with a top-six pick or leave the NBA Draft Lottery empty-handed.
Every day between the end of the Sixers' regular season and the NBA Draft Lottery on May 12, we will use Tankathon.com's famous simulation tool to run through the lottery 10 times. Over a 29-day period, we will collect a significant sample of possible outcomes and track those results as the Sixers wait to learn the fate of their own first-round pick.
The Sixers are entering the lottery with the fifth-best set of odds, but they will only keep their first-rounder if it falls in the top six slots due to an obligation to the Oklahoma City Thunder from a trade made nearly five years ago.
Let's get to today's simulations:
The outcomes of today's batch of 10 simulations:
• Simulation No. 1: 2nd pick
• Simulation No. 2: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 3: 8th pick
• Simulation No. 4: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 5: 4th pick
• Simulation No. 6: 7th pick
• Simulation No. 7: 1st pick
• Simulation No. 8: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 9: 6th pick
• Simulation No. 10: 8th pick
MORE: Can you name every player to appear in a game for the 2024-25 Sixers?
The Sixers won the lottery once among today's 10 simulations, ironically jumping alongside the Brooklyn Nets and Toronto Raptors, the two teams they outpaced in the tanking race for the final two months of the season:
Just how much would Duke phenom Cooper Flagg transform the Sixers? The answer is a lot, and not just in the long term.
This was not a favorable batch of simulations, though, as the Sixers lost their pick five times. The second drawing featured some major movement at the top:
The Chicago Bulls have been resisting their obvious need to tank for a decade. Maybe they are just playing the long game!
The cumulative results of this exercise so far:
| Draft Pick | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| 1 | 32 | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| 2 | 29 | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 17 | 7.0% | 10.6% |
| 4 | 30 | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| 5 | 9 | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| 6 | 41 | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| 7 | 62 | 25.8% | 26.7% |
| 8 | 19 | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| 9 | 1 | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Keep or Lose Pick? | Simulation Outcomes | Simulation Outcome Percentage | Actual Percentage Odds |
| Kept Pick | 158 | 65.8% | 64.0% |
| Lost Pick | 82 | 34.1% | 36.0% |
SIXERS YEAR-IN-REVIEW
Joel Embiid | Guerschon Yabusele | Paul George | Jared McCain | Tyrese Maxey | Andre Drummond | Quentin Grimes | Jared Butler | Kyle Lowry | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Justin Edwards | Ricky Council IV | Eric Gordon | Lonnie Walker IV | Adem Bona
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