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December 23, 2020

Week 16 NFL prop bet updates, rushing/receiving title races, Super Bowl odds

It's the regular season's penultimate week. Which means, just like so many great TV shows you've been binging during the pandemic, it could be the best one of the season.

With action set to kick off Friday as part of a very rare four-day football weekend, many will be watching to see if they can win their fantasy football championship, or if their favorite team can slide into the playoffs, which start in two weeks.

But others will no doubt be paying close attention to the ever-changing awards and betting landscape. We are here to help.

From who will lead the league in passing yards to who is most likely to win Defensive Player of the Year — and everything in between, including the Super Bowl winner — we've compiled some of the most common props and futures below in order to keep you posted on how your bets are looking as we head down the stretch. 

All of the odds have been assembled from, which collects lines and odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers and UniBet to provide contrasts for bettors to get their money in the best they can. Here's how things stand with three weeks of games to go before the postseason:

Super Bowl

With a single-elimination tournament, there is really no telling which teams currently leading their divisions will still be playing come February. But as always, the sports books have done their best to handicap the favorites. The Chiefs are far and away the team with the best chances of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy, with the Bills and three NFC teams chasing them in the odds department.

Here's a look at the current top five teams, according to DraftKings:

Team (W-L)SB Odds
Chiefs (13-1)+170
Packers (11-3)+550
Saints (10-4)+850
Bills (11-3)+900
Seahawks (10-4)+1300

The Chiefs have improved their odds slightly from +180 a week ago, and the Packers have made a pretty big jump from +650 to +550. The Bills have also made a big jump, up from +1200 last week. The Rams' loss to the Jets in Week 15 dropped them out of the top five, tied with the Bucs and Ravens at +1400.


Not surprisingly, this is a two-man race between Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers. Last week the race was much tighter, but Mahomes separated from Rodgers in Week 16 and looks to be pulling away...

PlayerStatsMVP odds
Patrick Mahomes, KC4,462 yds, 36 TD, 5 INT-400
Aaron Rodgers, GB3,828 yds, 40 TD, 4 INT +400

Rodgers dropped from +175 to +400 (according to DraftKings numbers), and after him, it's not even really worth talking about any other candidates. 

Defensive Player of the Year

It appears that when the season is over and the year-end awards are handed out, it will once again be going to a pass rusher, which is where it had gone for five straight years before cornerback Stephon Gilmore took home the award last season. And depending on how the last three weeks play out, it could be going to a familiar name. 

Aaron Donald won the award in 2017 and 2018 and remains among the favorites to win the award for 2020 as well. But he'll have to pass the current favorite, T.J. Watt of the Steelers, whose brother J.J. is a three-time DPOY himself. Also in the hunt is Browns defensive end Myles Garrett, who has had a stellar season for the better-than-expected Cleveland Browns. 

PlayerStatsDPoY odds
T.J. Watt, PIT13 sacks, 22 TFL, 7 PD, INT, FF+180
Aaron Donald, LAR 12.5 sacks, 11 TFL, 4 FF, FR+200
Myles Garrett, CLE11 sacks, 9 TFL, 4 FF, 2 FR +350

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Just like the MVP award, no one else is really close to those three. Dolphins CB Xavien Howard currently has the fourth best odds at DraftKings, and he's all the way down at +2500. It's also worth noting that these odds haven't changed at all in the last week, but some of the other sports books over at have it looking a little differently, with one even having Donald as the favorite over Watt.

Offensive Rookie of the Year

We'll swap to FanDuel for the Rookie of the Year race, which shakes out as follows in a two-man race:

PlayerStatsROY odds
Justin Herbert, LAC3,781 yds, 27 TD, 10 INT-950
Justin Jefferson, MIN73 Rec, 1,182 yds, 7 TD+550

Justin Herbert has a huge edge, likely because of the position he plays, even though the Vikings have had a better season so far than Los Angeles.

Most rushing yards

This one is all but locked up, as several betting outlets have taken it off the board. Still, there's a chance the Titans rest Derrick Henry in their final game and Cook has a monster pair of games to catch him. Here's BetRivers' rushing title odds:

Derrick Henry, TEN1,679-225
Dalvin Cook, MIN1,484+150

Most receiving yards

In what was a very tight race just a week ago, there appears to be some separation in the three-man competition between DeAndre Hopkins, Stefon Diggs and Travis Kelce. However, one game can completely swing the balance, so we've included a handful of competitive wideouts below, with the odds from FanDuel:

DeAndre Hopkins, ARI 1,324 +110
Stefon Diggs, BUF1,314+170
 Travis Kelce, KC1,318+300
DK Metcalf, SEA 1,223+1000
Tyreek Hill, KC1,211+2500
Calvin Ridley, ATL1,192+3300
Davante Adams, GB1,186

Hopkins, who was in sixth place at odds hovering near +500, leaped ahead of every other receiver thanks to his monster game against the Eagles in Week 15. Diggs, who is questionable for his upcoming game, also leapfrogged from fifth to second after another big game of his own. 

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