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January 01, 2016

Eagles can theoretically reclaim value of second-round pick with loss to Giants

Eagles NFL
010116PatShurmur Matt Slocum/AP

Eagles interim head coach Pat Shurmur has a chance to be tied for the best winning percentage in Eagles history, which would be terrible.

Last March, the Eagles sent a second-round pick and Nick Foles to the Rams in exchange for quarterback Sam Bradford. Breaking news, I know. No matter what you think of Bradford and whether or not the Eagles should try to re-sign him this offseason, the fact remains that the Eagles have a roster so full of holes that I couldn't even include wide receiver among their five biggest needs. The Eagles having that second-round pick would be a lot cooler than if they didn't.

If the Eagles lose on their meaningless game this Sunday to the Giants, they will clinch a draft spot of 11th overall or better. They can draft as high as ninth overall depending on the outcomes of the Buccaneers and Saints games. If they win, however, they will draft no higher than 13th, and could draft as low as 17th.

Below is the NFL's draft value chart, which NFL teams loosely use as a guide when planning draft day trades involving draft picks. Sometimes teams will overpay to move up. Other times, teams that are motivated to move back to acquire more picks will take a hit on the value. Via Ourlads.com:

None

As noted above, the highest possible pick the Eagles can get is ninth overall. That pick is worth 1350 "points." The lowest possible pick they can get is 17th overall. That pick is worth 950 points. The difference between those two picks is 400 points, or the 50th overall pick, which falls in the middle of the second round.

Here are all the differences between the possible draft positions the Eagles would get if they lose, and if they win:

• 9th overall vs. 17th overall: 400 points, 50th overall, mid 2nd round pick.

• 9th overall vs 16th overall: 350 points, 55th overall, mid-late 2nd round pick.

• 9th overall vs 15th overall: 300 points, 60th overall, late 2nd round pick.

• 9th overall vs 14th overall: 250 points, 68th overall, early 3rd round pick.

• 9th overall vs 13th overall: 200 points, 78th overall, mid 3rd round pick.

• 10th overall vs. 17th overall: 350 points, 55th overall, mid-late 2nd round pick.

• 10th overall vs 16th overall: 300 points, 60th overall, late 2nd round pick.

• 10th overall vs 15th overall: 250 points, 68th overall, early 3rd round pick.

• 10th overall vs 14th overall: 200 points, 78th overall, mid 3rd round pick.

• 10th overall vs 13th overall: 150 points, 88th overall, mid-late 3rd round pick.

• 11th overall vs. 17th overall: 300 points, 60th overall, late 2nd round pick.

• 11th overall vs 16th overall: 250 points, 68th overall, early 3rd round pick.

• 11th overall vs 15th overall: 200 points, 78th overall, mid 3rd round pick.

• 11th overall vs 14th overall: 150 points, 88th overall, mid-late 3rd round pick.

• 11th overall vs 13th overall: 100 points, 100th overall, early 4th round pick.

Of course, the above is not to be taken literally. The draft value chart is merely a guide, and it's relevance changes from year to year based on the landscape of that year's draft class.

What the above is designed to show as it pertains to the Eagles' game this Sunday, is that there is a significant difference in value between the pick they'll get if they win, and if they lose.

So please, for the love of God, Eagles... After this dumpster fire of a season, throw the fans a bone here and play as terribly as you have in games that actually mattered.


Follow Jimmy on Twitter: @JimmyKempski

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