October 29, 2026
Peter Casey/IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Jayden Daniels hasn't won a game in more than a year, but the Commanders are still a better team than the Eagles at the moment.
For the gambling degenerates, here are my Week 8 NFL picks. The team logos indicate who I think will win the game, not cover the spread. At the end of the picks, I'll note a few teams that I like based on the spread.
Panthers at Packers (-3.5): Both of these teams are coming off of divisional losses. The Packers lost a tight game to the Lions, and the Panthers got absolutely torn up by the Buccaneers.
I didn't think much of the Panthers when prepping for their matchup against the Eagles a couple weeks ago, and believe that they have somehow become overrated. The Packers have more talent. But this is a matchup between two teams playing for the right to be an easy out in the first round of the playoffs.
Vikings at Lions (-3): Nobody has stopped the Lions offense this season. Conversely, nobody has figured out the Vikings' defense yet this season. So, something has to give. I think the Lions will be able to score enough that the Vikings' crappy offense can't keep up.
Raiders at Jets (-1.5): The Raiders got out to a 3-0 start and they might only win like 5 or 6 games.
Side note: I've see people suggest that the Eagles should trade for Kirk Cousins as if he'd save their season, lol.
Cardinals at Cowboys (-6.5): Cardinals offense and defense: Bad. Cowboys defense: Bad. Cowboys offense: Good. I'll take the team with one good thing over the team with zero good things.
Falcons at Buccaneers (-2.5): The Buccaneers started this season with four straight losses. There is only one team in NFL history — the 1992 Chargers — that started 0-4 and made the playoffs. In the awful NFC South, the Bucs have a chance to do that this season.
But give me the more talented Falcons here.
Ravens at Bills (-3): It's confusing to me why the Ravens are being thought of as a good team. I have not been impressed by them at all when I have seen them play this season. Not to mention, they made a panic trade for Cam Jurgens. The Bills are a much better team, and laying 3 points feels like a bargain.
Colts at Jaguars (-10.5): The Colts traded two of their best players and now some of their other good players want out.
The Colts tanking without a first round pick pic.twitter.com/KHKNty2DkC
— Simpsons NFL (@TheSimpsonsNFL) October 27, 2026
Still, the Jags are a little overrated, in my opinion. I'm not turning down 10.5 points.
Titans at Bengals (-10.5): If you're somehow still alive in your survivor pools, I like the Bengals here if you haven't already used them. But again, 10.5 points feels a little rich against a Titans team that has at least played hard.
Browns at Steelers (-3.5): The Browns are 5-2. Three of their wins were by 3 points, one was by 4 points. They will be the next team (after the Raiders) to completely fall off a cliff after a surprisingly good start, record-wise, to their season.
Chargers at Rams (-6.5): At some point the Chargers are going to win a game. But that probably won't be this week, as it feels to me like the Rams are about to take off.
Chiefs (-1.5) at Broncos: Like the Ravens above, anytime I have watched this Broncos team this season, I have been thoroughly unimpressed.
Patriots (-6.5) at Dolphins: I'll say this for the Dolphins. At least they're still playing hard. But, obviously, they are far less talented than the Patriots.
Eagles at Commanders (-5): Jayden Daniels is 0-7-1 in his last eight starts. He is playing behind a bad offensive line and alongside some pretty unthreatening skill position players. The Commanders also have a very bad defense.
And yet, they are definitively better than this Eagles team that has an offense with no answers and an extremely disappointing defense.
The Eagles might be the worst team in the NFL right now, and I don't think that's some "hot take."
Bears at Seahawks (-3): This is a great Monday Night Football matchup between a pair of teams that could be facing each other in the NFC Championship Game. Huge test for Caleb Williams against this vicious Seahawks defense. I'll take the Seahawks, based on what they did to Patrick Mahomes last week, but more than anything I'm just curious to see how this matchup plays out.
BYE: Giants, 49ers, Saints, Texans.
• Last 11 seasons, ATS: 466-394-23 (0.541)
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