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November 18, 2022

Eagles-Colts: Predictions, betting odds and more for Week 11

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Nick-Sirianni-Eagles-Commanders-Week-10-NFL-2022.jpg Bill Streicher/USA TODAY Sports

Head coach Nick Sirianni, coming off the Eagles' first loss of the season, will face his former team on Sunday.

The Eagles finally lost a game and there's a book now on how to beat them.

The Colts, meanwhile, just days after installing alum Jeff Saturday as the interim head coach, collected themselves from a miserable first half of the year and shocked Josh McDaniel's Las Vegas Raiders. 

It's a weird spot. 

The Eagles haven't lost in a long time, but looked largely out of sorts when they finally did against the Commanders on Monday night. 

And the Colts, after becoming the league punching bag for a seemingly rash decision to bring in Saturday (who never coached a down of NFL football) from the outside, are actually coming in with some optimism.

That said, at 8-1, the Eagles are still very much the favorite to go into Indy and win. 

And our writers largely feel the same...

• GAME INFO •

WEEK 11

Eagles (8-1) at Colts (4-5-1)

Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)
 

BROADCAST INFO

TV: CBS (Ian Eagle, Charles Davis, & Evan Washburn)

RADIO: 94.1 WIP (Merrill Reese, Mike Quick)

BETTING LINES

Week 11 NFL betting odds
 Book Spread Money LineTotal (O/U) 
DraftKings PHI -6.5  PHI -295
IND +245
45
FanDuel  PHI -6.5PHI -295
IND +240 
 44.5
BetMGM PHI -6.5 PHI -300
IND +240
45
UniBetPHI -6.5PHI -305
IND +235 
 45
 PointsBetPHI -6.5  PHI -300
IND +240
45

• PREDICTIONS •

Jimmy Kempski

@JimmyKempski |  Email |  Stories
2022 RECORD: 7-2

PICK: Eagles 23, Colts 17

At first glance, the Colts might look like a team ripe for a smashing considering owner Jim Irsay fired head coach Frank Reich and inserted in "drinking buddy" Jeff Saturday. But this is not a bad team. They have their fair share of things going for them.

  1. Jonathan Taylor remains one of the most dangerous offensive weapons in the NFL, and he appears to be playing at a high level again after being hampered by injuries earlier this season.
  2. The Colts' defense can stop the run, as they have the second-best opposing yards per carry in the NFL, at 3.8.
  3. They have a good veteran secondary and pass rushers who can get after the quarterback.
  4. Matt Ryan is obviously not the quarterback he once was, but he is 4-3-1 this season, and was only benched for Sam Ehlinger because the owner is a meddling nutjob. Ryan is back as the starter, and while has had some ugly games, he can be effective if you get him on the wrong day, as he has four games this season in which he has a quarterback rating of over 105.

While I think the Eagles will bounce back from their frustrating loss to the Commanders Monday night and win this game, I also think it could be a struggle. Beware that 6.5-point line, which might look good on paper. Birds in a tight one. 


MORE: All of Jimmy Kempski's Week 11 NFL Picks


Evan Macy

@evan_macy |  Email |  Stories
2022 RECORD: 6-3

PICK: Eagles 27, Colts 21

I really feel like this could be a loss — the injuries and poor play against Washington aren't just going to vanish. Stopping Jonathan Taylor is no easy task and the 30+ veterans the team signed to stuff up the middle are walking in off the street and won't make an immediate impact. I think there are a lot of things working against Philly in this one, but they still have so much talent that I am going to reluctantly pick them to win here, without a ton of conviction.

Shamus Clancy

@shamusclancy | Email |  Stories
2022 Record: 8-1

PICK: Eagles 28, Colts 20

This is a situation where the narrative tide is going to shift too radically toward the Colts' favor after this past week. At the end of the day, Indianapolis' head coach had never coached above high school before Sunday and the Eagles remain an 8-1 squad. 

The Birds will bounce back and the anger at referees, defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon and the world itself from the fan base will subside (at least for a couple of days). 

With star Dallas Goedert missing time for the foreseeable future, I'll say second-year tight end Jack Stoll scores his first career touchdown too. 


MORE: Eagles-Colts injury report, with analysis


Kyle Neubeck

@KyleNeubeck |  Email |  Stories
2022 RECORD: 7-2

PICK: Eagles 30, Colts 21

The Colts somehow managed to win a game after hiring a coach with no real experience in the middle of the season, but I am not going to bet on lightning striking twice. The thought of Jonathan Taylor going wild on a run defense desperately adding reinforcements scares me a bit, but I'll back the Eagles here.

Nick Tricome

@itssnick | EmailStories
2022 RECORD: 7-2

PICK: Colts 23, Eagles 21

Last week, I said it was hard to find reasons to pick against the Eagles and expected them to be in control of pretty much the entire game against Washington. 

Things change quick in the NFL, and it will leave you eating crow within seconds. 

I do ultimately believe that the Eagles will be okay in the long run, but looking at the last two weeks – at how Dameon Pierce ran all over them in Week 9, and how Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson kept their defense on the field in Week 10 – I don't think they're in for a great time against Jonathan Taylor. 

Washington used a slow, deliberate, and methodical gameplan against the Eagles to kill as much time as possible and it worked, and the Colts, while not great, are a bit better equipped to roll out that same strategy to greater effect. Taylor started looking like last season's leading rusher again, which is huge for Indy, and Matt Ryan, though up there in age now, can still manage a game with the best of them under center. 

The Eagles are a better team, but I don't think this matchup is a good one for them. I just can't help but feel there's going to be another huge differential in time of possession and another gassed defense out there because of it. 

Jalen Hurts and the offense will come up with some big plays to keep it close, but my gut says the Eagles as a whole won't have things fully sorted out this week and lose back-to-back.

Fully prepared to eat crow again a few days from now though. 


MORE: Week 11 power rankings roundup


Eytan Shander

@shandershow | Stories
2022 RECORD: 8-1

PICK: Eagles 27, Colts 17

Nothing like a get-right game to follow the disappointing home loss for our Birds. The problem wasn’t so much a fundamental issue, like not being able to stop the run, so much as the entire coaching staff getting nervous and blowing up their identity. It’s too easy to say the Eagles need to run, or stop the run, so looking at this week expect some fine-tuning – but also some conservative plays.

The Eagles are on the road in a non-conference game against a coach making just his second appearance on the sidelines. It would be a colossal failure for this team to have Jeff Saturday and his cronies outcoach this group. Expect a healthy dose of what got the Eagles here, but they are also on the road, so only in bursts. The Colts will run as much as possible but the human turnover machine – Matt Ryan – will do what he does best.

John McMullen

@JFMcMullen | Stories
2022 RECORD: 8-1

PICK: Eagles 33, Colts 17

Sixty minutes of lackadaisical football. That's how long it takes many in the bipolar Philadelphia fanbase to race from the zero of not seeing a loss on the upcoming schedule to the 60 of pearl-clutching pessimism of 'how in the world can the best team in football beat an abject mess of a franchise in which the maverick owner fired the offensive coordinator and head coach before bringing in a novice to stop the bleeding?"

The answer is, of course, the simple market correction by Philadelphia and not playing along with the narrow path to victory Washington followed on Monday night.

The growing injury list is the larger concern for the Eagles, particularly Dallas Goedert, who is out for at least four games, and A.J. Brown, who is going to try to play through an ankle injury but certainly wasn't himself after rolling it against the Commanders. One of Howie Roseman's few mistakes in roster building was corrected on Wednesday when Philadelphia came to terms with the 34-year-old Linval Joseph, a true nose tackle who isn't the Pro Bowl player he once was but should be the legitimate run-stuffer Jonathan Gannon needs to keep the light boxes he wants to use.

In the end, though, if you think Nick Sirianni is letting Jim Irsay off the hook after the Colts owner did Frank Reich dirty, think again. This is personal for Sirianni.


Follow Nick on Twitter: @itssnick

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